Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Wake Up Call



Talk about a surprise...well...not really.  Yesterday, it appeared that our rain chances would be pretty slim today. To be honest, all the computer models were hinting at another steamy, hot Wednesday.  Not a wet, soggy stormy morning.

                                              (Model showing upper air disturbance moving in to Arkansas)

What happened?

Well, late last night I tweeted that a new upper level disturbance was emerging in the flow and that it would bring up our rain chances the next morning.  Sure enough the disturbance developed a thunderstorm complex and sent it our way early today.  At this point, our ground is soaked with a good half inch of rain.

How come you weren't able tell us about it on Tuesday afternoon?  Well, these features are extremely difficult to track well out past 24 hours...Plus every model out there wasn't even suggesting this kind of setup.

Now that I have that out of the way... 

REST OF TODAY:  A couple left over showers will invade from the north.  Otherwise we'll be drying out in the afternoon and see the sky reveal a little more sunshine.  Temperatures will struggle to get back to 90 degrees.  Most of the time they'll stay in the 70's and 80's so you'll get to enjoy a nice break from the summer heat.

TOMORROW:  Don't put away those umbrellas.  A cold front will be sliding in here on Thursday and this give us another decent shot at widely scattered thunderstorms.  The best chance of running into these storms will be during the late morning and early afternoon hours.  Otherwise temperatures will climb back to the 90's.

FRIDAY-WEEKEND:  Once the cold front slips past our state, it will be less humid. (YES!!)  Temperatures will stumble to the upper 60's overnight and rise to near 90 degrees in the afternoon with lots of sunshine.



HURRICANE IRENE:  If you haven't heard it yet, Hurricane Irene has strengthen to a Category 3 storm with winds reaching 115mph this morning.  The eyewall is very defined on satellite and is tracking northwest through the Bahamas.  As you have read on this blog, the storm track continues to turn more to the right.

The eastern coast of North Carolina will be under the gun and will likely receive a glancing blow from the center of the storm by Saturday.  As it tracks farther northward toward New Jersey and New York, it will loose it strength and will be Category 2 or Category 1 hurricane.

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