Today Isaac is a strong tropical storm with winds swirling around 60 mph. Recon data shows the tropical disturbance is better organized and shows no signs of slowing down before heading for Hispaniola. The only feature lacking with this disturbance is the storms near the core.
In the future, Isaac will continue to track northwest since there is a break down of an mid-level ridge in the Atlantic. This northwest path will lead the tropical storm through high terrain over the weekend, thus it will not reach hurricane strength over the weekend.
Once the cyclone hurdles Cuba, the tropical storm will recompose itself and likely reach a category one or two hurricane before making landfall near the Alabama/Florida beach coast. Right now, the forecast models show Isaac slamming into Pensacola, Fl and I agree with that assessment.
The only big question is what happens to Isaac after it reaches our U.S. coast. Majority of the global models want to shove the left overs of Isaac to the east and miss Arkansas. While a few outliers, namely the European model, are showing it bringing rain to eastern side of the Natural State.
I'll continue to monitor Isaac's progression and more updates on the blog and on the newscast. Until then have a good weekend.
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