Sunday, December 4, 2011

Soggy Weather Pattern

                                                   (Rainfall amounts as of 2pm Sunday)

Light to moderate rain continues to fall all over the Natural State today.  With a slow moving cold front and several upper level disturbances, there will be additional rainfall to come for the next 24 hours.

              (Our FOX 16 weather model shows the biggest accumulation of rain in SE Arkansas)

Forecasting the amount of rain in the future is tough but judging by the latest computer runs there is still the potential for additional 2-4" to arrive tonight and into Monday.  Of course, with this amount of rain possible there is the concern for flash flooding on local roadways and creeks.

Besides the onset of the wet weather, our temperatures have been going in the wrong direction.  Instead of warming up in the morning and afternoon, our thermometers are cooling down.  Temperatures will continue their downward spiral to the mid 40's tonight.  As for tomorrow, temperatures won't budge that much in fact they could very well stay in the low-mid 40's the entire day.

                                  (Snowfall model showing no significant winter weather ahead)

                        (Model showing a brief period of wet snow in Northern Arkansas on Monday.)

Toward the northern tip of Arkansas there could be enough cooling in the upper levels of the atmosphere to sustain a wet snowflake late on Monday.  However, the trend for most models now is to leave out the wintry mix out all together.  I happen to agree with this assessment and do not anticipate any major wintry weather to affect your travel toward the northern border on Monday.  If snow is able to fall in this region it will likely not stick due to warm ground below.

Once we're past Monday, we'll dry out and stay chilly all week long with thermometers struggling to get out of the 40's.  A couple days this week will be in the 50's.  We'll have more coverage on the wet weather ahead tonight on FOX16 news at 9pm.

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