The latest observations this Saturday reveal a broad area of low pressure that is gaining strength approximately 200 miles from the mouth of the Mississippi River. This persistent low has drenched the western half of Florida for an extended period of time and has shown no signs of weakening. With no shear aloft and plenty of warm water ahead, could spell trouble for beach goers in the southern coast.
The National Hurricane Center is investigating this area of disturbed weather and will likely announce it as a tropical storm by the end of the day. If it is named a tropical storm it will carry the name Debby.
Checking on the intensity of the tropical disturbance is one thing, but knowing where it will go is another. Weather models have been hinting at tropical development for days now but they have disagreed on the movement. Some have the tropical system heading east through Florida with the help of a weakening upper level trough to the north. Others have it trailing westward toward the southern edge of Texas with the strengthening ridge developing in the heart of the country. Time will tell where it will be heading, but my gut is saying it will take a east-northeast turn.
Either way you look at it, this developing cyclone doesn't look to impact Arkansas in any way shape or form. We'll continue to monitor the situation and give you the latest updates when they become available.
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