Update on Friday's Severe Storms

All week long we've been advertising the threat for severe weather in Arkansas on Friday...but now it appears that the threat has shifted eastward towards Tennessee, Kentucky, Northern Alabama and Southern Ohio.

                        (Updated SPC SREF model showing the tornado threat shifting eastward)

The latest weather models, including our own at FOX 16, are suggesting that the strong surface low will move very quickly - so quickly that it won't allow all the ingredients to come together in Arkansas. Inevitably the storms will likely develop near the eastern border around the lunch hour and progress through the Tennessee Valley by the afternoon.

                                              (SPC convective outlook for tomorrow.)

We're not the only ones who believe most of the storms will miss the Natural State.  The folks at the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman are on the same page.  Their latest convective outlook highlight the same region for getting the damaging thunderstorms.

This is not to say a few towns in Eastern Arkansas won't see an intense storm but the chances are beginning to dwindle.  Unless this upcoming storm system slows down to a good degree, we'll probably escape another severe weather outbreak in the nation.