Arkansas Soaker

Severe storms have passed and our weather has been quiet. Of course we know Mother Nature is never in hibernation this time of the year.

Later this week, an upper level low will stagger into Texas and cut off from the main flow causing it to slow down to a sails pace.  As this process takes place, a surface low will carry in a fairly stationary cold front.  When you add that to an already moist atmosphere, we're looking at the several rounds of heavy rain.

If you think about it, this system is a great sight to see from the models.  Central Arkansas has been battling grass fires left and right lately.  With this incredibly slow moving storm system we can certainly put an end to the fire danger in the region.

 

(FOX 16 weather model showing 1-4" of rain through Friday evening)

(HPC forecast of rainfall from Thursday to Sunday.)

On the flip side, we may get too much rain at one time.  Weather models are painting a very wet picture of 2-5" of rain through the upcoming weekend.  For some local creeks and rivers this maybe too much to handle.  Of course, we'll keep an eye on this development in the next few days.

In addition to the flood threat, we can't completely rule out some severe weather either.  When the storm system initially comes down on Thursday we could be looking at a few intense storms forming along the cold front.  The main threat would only be hail and flash flooding but it's still worth noting.

So just hold off on the car wash and have those umbrellas ready to go.  We're about to go through a wet pattern in the near future.