Thursday, February 24, 2011

Tornado Outbreak...Not Likely

Latest radar and model analysis show a defined line of thunderstorms moving through Western Arkansas early this afternoon. The line should progress eastward for the rest of the daylight hours.

Out ahead of the line, we're waiting to see if any discrete storms develop. If they do, that would mean we could still see a tornado in the state today. At the moment the ingredients are just not gelling together. The most unstable air is not interacting with the highest wind shear. Keep in mind, there is still time for these two main ingredients to come together to produce a tornadic storm. We're just not seeing it at this time.

When the main line of storms rushes through Central Arkansas early this evening we'll be done with the severe threat. Afterwords, our weather will calm down a couple days.

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