The latest computer analysis this morning reveals a downward trend with the snowfall total on Wednesday. Were no longer seeing indications of more than 8" of snow for Little Rock and Central Arkansas. Instead most models are showing toward 4-6" of snowfall at this time. That is a great sign. The worst case scenario is that the North American Mesoscale Model verifies and we get 8" of snow. Judging by the latest dynamics and forcing, that doesn't seem possible. Nevertheless, the event will still produce a significant amount of snow in our region and will cause poor travel conditions. We still believe that higher elevation areas to our west/northwest will produce the highest snowfall totals with a range of 8-10".
In terms of timing, the snow storm should arrive sometime between 6-8am and give us the heaviest snow around the noon hour. Then the snow should come to an end in the evening period.
Once we're done with the event early Wednesday evening it will be colder with thermometers into the teens. On Thursday we'll barely get back to the upper 20's. By Friday morning, we could some spots get close to the single digits. Finally, with enough sunshine and warm air advection we'll probably get above freezing Friday afternoon.
A nice warming trend will be in store for us this upcoming weekend and most of next week. Stay tuned as we continue to track this impressive band of snow through The Natural State.
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