Update: Storm Prediction upgrades much of Central and Eastern Arkansas to MODERATE risk of storms with enhanced threat for strong to violent tornadoes by later this morning and early this afternoon.
A powerful storm system pushing through the Southern Plains pushes a strong cold front across Arkansas Monday. Warm, moist Gulf air will quickly pushing North ahead of the front is fueling storm development this morning. Storms will push through Western Arkansas during the morning hours.
The line of storms will quickly push East during the mid-morning hours toward Central Arkansas. The exact timing of the storms is uncertain, but the most likely time frame for Central Arkansas is between 8 AM and Noon today.
The line of storms pushes into Eastern Arkansas during the early afternoon.
The line of storms is moving into an environment of strong wind shear, which will enhance the threat for severe storms. The main risk will be damaging straight line winds with the threat for spin ups along the squall line. This means there will be a tornado threat with any stronger cells along the line. Isolated hail and flash flooding are also possible.
All storms will move out the State by Monday evening. Pay close attention to watches and warnings Monday and be prepared to take action if necessary. Make sure to also secure any loose items in and around your house.
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