Strong Storms on the Horizon?

This April has already had it's fair shares of ups and down but this week looks to be pretty much what you would expect for this time of year. We'll see a northwest flow aloft give us a few bouts of showers while other days will be dry with temperatures in the 70's.

                            (Roughly 20,000 ft above us there will be winds coming in from the northwest)

Next weekend seems interesting because our flow will change from a northwest one to more of a southwest one.  That can mean only thing around this time of year...active weather ahead.

                                     (One week from today, the winds switch to the southwest at 20,000 ft)

In due time, our thermometers will race back up to near 80 degrees by next Saturday and Sunday.  Also, moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will spill back into our region.  It will only be a matter of time before a disturbance sets off strong thunderstorms with these conditions in place.  The question is where and when will it all of it go down?

                                   (GFS model showing strong system bringing strong storms April 16th)

Early indications point to an active pattern sometime one week from now.  The details are hard to pin down but we do know that a disturbance in the form of a cold front could trigger severe thunderstorms next week Monday or Tuesday.  The main target runs from Texas, Oklahoma and through Missouri.

                               (SPC highlighting Oklahoma and Kansas with possible severe weather one week from now.)

We may not know a whole lot of details at this hour but we do know that our weather is going to get a lot warmer and active soon. Make sure to stay tune to the FOX 16 weather blog for more updates on this development.