Saturday, September 24, 2011

Sunday Severe Weather Threat

Severe storms will be possible beginning late Sunday morning into early Sunday evening across Central Arkansas. A cold front pushing across the State along with a strong slow moving upper low to our North will result in scattered to numerous storms developing across Central Arkansas. Warm, moist air ahead of the front combined with moderate wind shear around the upper low will create a marginal tornado threat mainly during the mid-day hours into the early evening. Large hail and gusty winds may also accompany some of the stronger storms. The Storm Prediction Center has a much of Arkansas under a SLIGHT risk for severe storms including a risk for tornadoes.



The map below shows the tornado threat for Sunday as of 1 AM from the SPC. The 5% contour which includes much of Central Arkansas indicates a 5% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a given point.





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